Universal Studios Archives - Andaman Inspirations

Overconfidence: The Downfall of Decision-Making

By CummingsRL on September 27, 2018November 5, 2018

Overconfidence sets us up for a long fall if we’re not realistic about our limitations. We all have cognitive biases that contribute to being overconfident, but these can be overcome with 6 practical methods to make more successful decisions.

Posted in: Abraham Wald, agile development, Amazon, ambiguous, Aristotle, Army Air Force, B-17, Bayes Theorem, Beta, Betamax, Beyth, Bingo, Blu-ray, Blue Line, Bomber, Brainwriting, Business Insider, chunnel, cognitive bias, complex, Dan Gardner, Daniel Kahneman, Denmark, Design Thinking, digital, digital camera, Disraeli, Dreamworks, Eastman Kodak, electronic device, Elon Musk, engineer, F-15, Failure Mode and Effect Analysis, featured, Fighter, Fischhoff, Flyvbjerg, FMEA, Gardner, Harvard Business Review, HD-DVD, Hindsight Bias, Horse racing, Icarus, Illusory Superiority Bias, information overload, Inside View, Iron Law of Megaprojects, Joker, KC-135, KC-135R, kodak, Leadership, MBA, Megaproject, Mellers, MRT, Outcome Bias, Outside View, Overconfidence, Oxford, Paramount, Paul Slovic, Philip Tetlock, Planning Fallacy, Pre-Mortem, Reference Forecast, Roger L. Martin, Roger Martin, safety factor, Saffo, Selection bias, soft power, soft power skills, Soft Power Skills Academy, soft skills, Sony, Statistical Research Group, Steve Jobs, Superforecaster, Superforecasting, Survivorship Bias, Suvarnabhumi, Tanker, Tetlock, Thailand, The art and science of prediction, Thinking Fast and Slow, Tony Golsby-Smith, Toshiba, tripwire, uncertain, United Kingdom, Universal, Universal Studios, VHS, volatile, VUCA, Wald, World War II, WWII, Zappos

Copyright © 2017 by Robert Cummings All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical reviews and certain other noncommercial uses permitted by copyright law. For permission requests, write to the publisher, addressed “Attention: Permissions Coordinator,” at the address below. Robert@AndamanInspirations.com

Tag: Universal Studios

Overconfidence: The Downfall of Decision-Making

Featured posts

Overconfidence: The Downfall of Decision-Making

18 Ways to Make a Bad Decision

ซอฟต์ พาวเวอร์ สกิลส์และการปฏิวัติที่กำลังจะมา

Try This Quiz to Find Your Thinking Style